” the scientists – backed by Health Secretary Matt Hancock and senior minister Michael Gove – told them the virus was on track to kill 85,000 this winter, and that it was too late for a so-called ‘circuit break’.”  Daily Mail, 31 October – Govt Halloween message. Feel the fear! Let’s all panic! But, wait …

Original Lockdown lasted from week ending 27 March – that of 5 June, and it CAUSED almost six thousand excess deaths, as shown in the chart (ONS stats).

It was mainly the old people, killed by stress, loneliness and fear.

After the Lockdown, for the next three months deaths remained 1-2% below the yearly average.

Come the autumn Equinox, the Government started terrorising people with talk of a Second Wave and lockdown over Xmas: 15 October ‘Level 2’ was imposed on London.

In consequence, deaths very slowly started to increase again  For the month of October, the first three weeks show a slight excess of 4% – that is about one thousand extra deaths. So yes once again the Government is killing old people and yes it will probably get worse – but eighty-five thousand? I don’t think so. 

Problem: A politician stands up on his hind legs and starts braying about how you cannot meet up with yr mates in the pub (And that is what Level 2 means). Is that the Law? I’m rather doubtful.